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Saturday, February 11, 2017 - 11:00am to 5:00pm
Jowler Creek Winery

Nothing says Valentine’s Day like chocolate and wine!For just $12 (included in Creek Club membership) you can pair each of JowlerCreek’s eight wines with piece of exquisite dark and milk chocolate,truffles, heart-shaped cake bites and other decadent chocolate dessertsdesigned to pair perfectly for each wine. This cost includes awineglass to take home as a souvenir. No reservations are required for this event– just come on out between 11:00-5:00 pm to indulge!

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Saturday, February 11, 2017 - 1:00pm to 4:00pm
Riverwood Winery

Based in Kansas City, MO, his music is moving towards araw yet refined traditionalism, drawing on old school bluesmen like LightningHopkins, and Howling Wolf, folk legends such as Townes Van Zandt, and PaulSimon, to modern sounds from the likes of Radiohead, Jack White, and theKills. Jonny Green is both a traditionalist, and simultaneously an innovatorand artist in the world of independent music.

Tipple Hill Winery Vineyard- Wine,
Saturday, February 11, 2017 - 5:00pm to 7:00pm
Tipple Hill Winery

Wine, Chocolate, Music!

Free Rocky Mountain Chocolate samples with wine purchase to be enjoyedin our tasting room while listening to the music!

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Saturday, February 11, 2017 - 7:00pm to 9:00pm
Windy Wine Company

Live Music with Jonathan Theobald

Riverwood Winery Valentine's Day Reading!
Saturday, February 11, 2017 - 7:00pm to 9:00pm
Riverwood Winery

Outstanding local actors Scott Cox (Chair of the Benedictine College Theaterand Dance Department) and Bonnie Griffin will once again present a reading incelebration of Valentine's Day.Mark Twain's The Diaries of Adam and Eve is a uniquely American theatrepiece, funny, beautiful, and deeply moving. It's a light-hearted look at theworld's first love story through the eyes of Missouri's and America'sgreatest humorist, Mark Twain, whose Garden of Eden bursts with wit, laughterand the lyric poignance of the first love and the first loss.

Crowns Canvas Painting Event
Sunday, February 12, 2017 - 2:00pm to 5:00pm
Weston Wine Company

Grab your friends, and come paint and party with us!There’s no need to know anything about painting or art. Local artinstructor Angie Carmack will walk you through the steps to create yourmasterpiece! We provide all the supplies you need for your painting and somelight snacks. Cost: $39/person. Spaces are limited and reservations arerequired by Friday, February 10th. Reserve your spot at www.westonwinecompany.com/events

In addition, extreme acts are more likely to be employed by marginalized people and groups who view more normative forms of conflict engagement as blocked for them or biased. However, dominant groups also commonly employ extreme activities (such as governmental sanctioning of violent paramilitary groups or the attack in Waco by the FBI in the U.S.). *Extremist acts often employ violent means, although extremist groups will differ in their preference for violent vs. non-violent tactics, in the level of violence they employ, and in the preferred targets of their violence (from infrastructure to military personnel to civilians to children). Again, low power groups are more likely to employ direct, episodic forms of violence (such as suicide bombings), whereas dominant groups tend to be associated with more structural or institutionalized forms (like the covert use of torture or the informal sanctioning of police brutality). Free Shipping Visit Tods chunky sole derbies Black Discount 2018 Unisex hmCGpZW0

Although extremist individuals and groups are often viewed as cohesive and consistently evil, it is important to recognize that they may be conflicted or ambivalent psychologically as individuals, or contain difference and conflict within their groups. For instance, individual members of Hamas may differ considerably in their willingness to negotiate their differences with the Palestinian Authority and, ultimately, with certain factions in Israel. Ultimately, the core problem that extremism presents in situations of protracted conflict is less the severity of the activities (although violence, trauma, and escalation are obvious concerns) but more so the closed, fixed, and intolerant nature of extremist attitudes, and their subsequent imperviousness to change. KAWA SHOWER Pool sliders solar orange/black Nicekicks Sale Online Clearance Big Discount Cheapest Cheap Price KShnTKum

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and Arthur Schlesinger, Jr. were two political writers during the mid-20th century who gave what purported to be accounts of "political extremism". Hoffer wrote books such as Tods Double T patent slippers 100% Guaranteed Sale Online 9an4HFU7M
and The Passionate State of Mind about the psychology and sociology of those who join "fanatical" mass movements. Schlesinger wrote books such as The Vital Center , championing a supposed "center" of politics within which "mainstream" political discourse takes place, and underscoring the alleged need for societies to draw definite lines regarding what falls outside of this acceptability.

Seymour Martin Lipset argued that besides the extremism of the left and right there is also an extremism of the center , and that it actually formed the base of Outlet Free Shipping Authentic Bally Mens Herick Leather HighTop Sneakers Black Amazon Purchase Cheap Low Shipping Fee Cheap Price Online Cheap FpZQy0Fx
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identifies 21 alleged traits of a "political extremist", ranging from behaviour like "a tendency to character assassination ", over hateful behaviour like "name calling and labelling ", to general character traits like "a tendency to view opponents and critics as essentially evil", "a tendency to substitute intimidation for argument" or " groupthink ". [6]

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The availability heuristic is a mental shortcut that relies on immediate examples that come to a given person's mind when evaluating a specific topic, concept, method or decision. The availability heuristic operates on the notion that if something can be recalled, it must be important, or at least more important than alternative solutions which are not as readily recalled. [1] Subsequently, under the availability heuristic, people tend to heavily weigh their judgments toward more recent information, making new opinions biased toward that latest news. [2] [3]

The availability of consequences associated with an action is positively related to perceptions of the magnitude of the consequences of that action. In other words, the easier it is to recall the consequences of something the greater those consequences are often perceived to be. Most notably, people often rely on the content of their recall if its implications are not called into question by the difficulty that they experience in bringing the relevant material to mind. [4]

Contents

Prior to the work of Kahneman and Tversky, the predominant view in the field of human judgment was that humans are rational actors. However, in the late 1960s and early 1970s, Shop For Online Sale Get To Buy Marks and Spencer Canvas Slipon Pump Shoes turquoise Ebay Online Where To Buy Low Price XBrFthF
and Daniel Kahneman began work on a series of papers examining "heuristic and biases" used in the judgment under uncertainty. They explained that judgment under uncertainty often relies on a limited number of simplifying heuristics rather than extensive algorithmic processing. Soon this idea spread beyond academic psychology, into law, medicine, and political science. This research questioned the descriptive adequacy of idealized models of judgment, and offered insights into the cognitive processes that explained human error without invoking motivated irrationality. Tods Moccasins in Suede With Credit Card Online uTT5yNFvs3
One simplifying strategy people may rely on is the tendency to make a judgment about the frequency of an event based on how many similar instances are brought to mind. In 1973, Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman first studied this phenomenon and labeled it the "availability heuristic". An availability heuristic is a mental shortcut that relies on immediate examples that come to a given person's mind when evaluating a specific topic, concept, method or decision. As follows, people tend to use a readily available fact to base their beliefs about a comparably distant concept. There has been much research done with this heuristic, but studies on the issue are still questionable with regard to the underlying process. Studies illustrate that manipulations intended to increase the subjective experience of ease of recall are also likely to affect the amount of recall. Furthermore, this makes it difficult to determine if the obtained estimates of frequency, likelihood, or typicality are based on participants' phenomenal experiences or on a biased sample of recalled information. Lanvin Waxed Calfskin Derbies in Black For Sale Cheap Online Outlet High Quality Cheap Sale Affordable Discount Comfortable hIoGy5K

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Of note, although the miRvana microRNA Isolation kit gave the lowest yield of miRNAs, even from 1 ml of pooled plasma, the profile of miRNAs detected by TLDA cards showed significant correlation with the profile generated following extraction of miRNA from 200 µl of plasma using the miRNeasy Serum/Plasma kit ( p <0.0001) ( Visit Sale Online Dsquared2 velvet laceup sneakers Black Cheap Marketable Cheap Real Authentic Sale Explore zj4nvOJSt
). Based on these results, further optimisation of miRNA isolation was only performed using the miRNeasy Serum/Plasma kit.

The yield of miRNA is not dependent on plasma volume

Next, we compared miRNA yields from 200 µl, 500 µl and 1 ml starting plasma volume. There was no significant increase in miRNA yield with increasing plasma volume by either Bioanalyser analysis ( Figure S1 ) or qRT-PCR ( and ) ( Figure 4D ), suggesting the quantity of miRNA recovered was not volume dependent. As part of this experiment, we also spiked-in at a concentration of 30 ng (1000-fold higher than in the previous kit comparisons) to test whether this resulted in saturation of either the column or the qPCR. Although the 1000-fold increase in concentration of the spike-in was reflected by an appropriate C value with 200 µl plasma volume, there was an increase in C values (and therefore decrease in detected concentration of the spike-in) with increasing plasma volume, suggesting less efficient recovery.

We obtained 15 ml blood samples from 5 healthy female volunteers and processed 7.5 ml for plasma at 2 hours post-venepuncture, while the remaining 7.5 ml was left for 6 hours at room temperature before processing. Plasma was separated using the 2 step 1000g, 1000g protocol (see methods). Both cfDNA and miRNA were recovered in triplicate from 1 ml and 200 µl of plasma using the QIAamp ® DNA Blood Mini kit and miRNeasy Serum/Plasma kit, respectively and analysed by qPCR. Yields of cfDNA were not altered by blood processing time ( Figure 5A ); however, 6 candidate miRNAs analysed were significantly different, in particular, hsa-miR-15b and hsa-miR-191 ( p <0.001) ( Figure 5B ).

Figure 5. Recovery of cfDNA and miRNA from plasma: effects of increasing centrifugation speed.

A. Quantitation of cfDNA using qPCR for GAPDH . Blood was processed within 2 hr or 6 hr post-venepuncture and cfDNA isolated from 1 ml of plasma. Whiskers of the box-plot show minimum and maximum values. B. Comparison of miRNA profiles from plasma processed 6 hr post-venepuncture compared to samples processed at 2 hr. Results presented as -ΔC T (change from 2 hours. Error bar = ±Std Dev, n = 5. * p <0.05; ** p <0.01; *** p <0.001. C. Two-tailed Spearman’s correlation analysis of ΔC T values obtained from TLDA A cards for duplicate miRNA samples following centrifugation at 1000g and 2000g. Dotted lines represent the 95% confidence interval. D. Two-tailed Spearman’s correlation analysis of ΔC T values obtained from TLDA A cards for duplicate miRNA samples following centrifugation at 1000g and 10000g. Dotted lines represent the 95% confidence interval. E. Two-tailed Spearman’s correlation analysis of ΔC T values obtained from TLDA A cards for duplicate miRNA samples following centrifugation at 2000g and 10000g. Dotted lines represent the 95% confidence interval. For C - E, Rho (ρ) and p -values are indicated on each graph.

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